Today's Slate
Tuesday · July 7, 2026·16 games · 12 confirmed lineups
Pitcher quality (xERA, xwOBA, FIP, kwERA, Arsenal Run Value), lineup matchup xwOBA against the opposing pitcher's pitch mix, catcher Fielding Run Value, gametime weather. Reference, not picks. Read across, decide for yourself.
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latest articles
archive →The Wind Playbook
All 30 MLB parks, wind physics, handedness splits, pitcher archetypes, prop applications. 2026 park changes (Kauffman, Camden reversed wall, Rogers Centre renovation, Daikin Park, A's in Sacramento, Rays back at Tropicana).
MLB Betting Framework essay
Process discipline, F5 markets, Kelly sizing, ten process leaks identified.
Defense Equation foundational essay
DRP framework, position-by-position breakdown.