Friday · September 18, 2026·full·gamePk 823898past slate · free
refreshed 163h 51m ago both lineups confirmed
weather · Dodger Stadium
gametime 10:15 PM EDT · open-meteo
temperature
70°F
humidity 70%
wind
7 mph
out to RF
precip
0%
clear
park
LAD
open · HP→CF 28°
wind impact on total
+0.11 R/Gminor out
Minor wind out: +0.11 R/G vs neutral. _Dodger Stadium's marine layer + light winds → known suppressor. Strong Santa Ana east winds (rare) flip script_
starters · IP-weighted 2025+2026
metric
Cesar PerdomoLHP · SF
Tyler GlasnowRHP · LAD
xERA 2026
4.36
3.11
xwOBA 2026
0.321
0.274
wOBA−xwOBA 2026
0.008
-0.022
xERA 2025
—
3.33
xwOBA 2025
—
0.285
Outs/TB 25-26
1.83
2.75
FIP 25-26
4.18
3.42
kwERA 25-26
4.02
3.04
K% 25-26
18.0%
30.2%
BB% 25-26
6.6%
10.5%
IP 25+26 combined
14.7
152.0
ERA actual 2026
3.68
3.50
ERA (L4)
3.68
4.91
WHIP (L4)
1.36
1.23
K% (L4)
18.0%
30.1%
BB% (L4)
6.6%
8.6%
IP/gm (L4)
4.89
5.50
L4 window
09/01→09/12 (3 outs) · 3/3 dates verified
08/25→09/12 (4 st) · 4/4 dates verified
Stuff+ last 3 (Δ szn)
86 (−1)
97 (−5)
SIERA last 3 (Δ szn)
4.02 (+0.65)
3.84 (+0.87)
Arsenal RV/100
0.65
1.14
away arsenal — SF
RV/100 0.65
4-Seam Fastball—-1.10xwOBA 0.417
Changeup—+4.60xwOBA 0.252
Slider—-0.90xwOBA 0.336
home arsenal — LAD
RV/100 1.14
4-Seam Fastball—+0.00xwOBA 0.359
Curveball—+0.70xwOBA 0.164
Sinker—+2.30xwOBA 0.329
Slider—+2.50xwOBA 0.246
away · SF vs RHP
confirmed
Σ xwOBA
2.511
Σ match
2.486
Σ FRV
-2.5
#
pos
batter
xwOBA
match
FRV
1
CF
Drew Gilbert
0.330
0.297
+3.7
2
LF
Turner Hill
0.328
0.301
-0.5
3
2B
Jonah Cox
0.273
0.263
+1.8
4
RF
Jung Hoo Lee
0.315
0.280
-6.7
5
3B
Shay Whitcomb
0.268
0.270
+0.8
6
C
Drew Cavanaugh
0.311
0.286
-2.7
7
1B
Brett Harris
0.293
0.291
+0.6
8
DH
Scott Bandura
0.136
0.250
-1.2
9
SS
Christian Koss
0.257
0.248
+1.7
home · LAD vs LHP
confirmed
Σ xwOBA
3.033
Σ match
3.306
Σ FRV
-5.0
#
pos
batter
xwOBA
match
FRV
1
SS
Mookie Betts
0.336
0.355
+6.1
2
C
Will Smith
0.377
0.421
-1.0
3
LF
Teoscar Hernández
0.334
0.397
-6.0
4
1B
Freddie Freeman
0.368
0.396
+1.4
5
2B
Miguel Rojas
0.311
0.346
+2.2
6
RF
Kyle Tucker
0.332
0.370
-7.1
7
3B
Enrique Hernández
0.282
0.316
-1.3
8
CF
Alex Call
0.276
0.330
+0.7
9
DH
Josue De Paula
0.417
0.373
+0.0
defense · SF catcher (Savant FRV)
Drew Cavanaugh
FRV-2.7
framing-3.6
blocking+0.8
throwing+0.1
defense · LAD catcher (Savant FRV)
Will Smith
FRV-1.0
framing-1.8
blocking+0.4
throwing+0.4
SF · Cesar Perdomo
Last outing 2026-09-12 vs SD · 4.2 IP
Metric
Prior games
Latest (Δ)
Last 3
Stuff+
88
84(-4)
86
Location+
105
111(+5)
107
Pitching+
96
102(+7)
98
botStf
48
49(+0)
49
botCmd
49
62(+13)
53
botOvr
46
55(+9)
49
SIERA
3.38
5.31(+1.94)
4.02
Last 3 outings: 2026-09-01 → 2026-09-12. 3/3 outings have verified ratings.
Latest botERA 3.87
Prior games = unweighted average before 2026-09-12; SIERA here is an average of game ratings, not aggregate season SIERA. Stuff+ family: 100 average. PitchingBot: 50 average. Lower SIERA/botERA is better.
LAD · Tyler Glasnow
Last outing 2026-09-12 vs MIA · 4.0 IP
Metric
Prior games
Latest (Δ)
Last 3
Stuff+
102
94(-8)
97
Location+
99
79(-20)
98
Pitching+
105
80(-25)
101
botStf
57
58(+1)
57
botCmd
52
38(-14)
48
botOvr
53
46(-8)
52
SIERA
2.97
4.52(+1.55)
3.84
Last 3 starts: 2026-08-30 → 2026-09-12. 3/3 outings have verified ratings.
Latest botERA 5.51
Prior games = unweighted average before 2026-09-12; SIERA here is an average of game ratings, not aggregate season SIERA. Stuff+ family: 100 average. PitchingBot: 50 average. Lower SIERA/botERA is better.
Bullpen depth chart · per side
Derived = season-usage role from pitcher-profiles.json. Card tag = what tonight's card thinks. When they disagree, the sim picker may target wrong arms in save windows. Mean IP/app distinguishes 1-IP relievers from bulk arms.
SF · bridge (non-closer, 6-8)7 arms · kwera
0.48R / inningband [0.38–0.58]
0.113 R/PA · 0.160 R/out · worst: Philip Abner (5.56)
xERA (Savant): Statcast's expected ERA, derived from xwOBA. Strips defense/luck — what the pitcher's contact quality says he should have given up.
xwOBA (Savant): Expected wOBA. Treats each batted ball by exit velo + launch angle (independent of where defenders stood). Lower = better for pitcher.
wOBA-xwOBA (Savant): Actual minus expected. Negative = the pitcher has been UNLUCKY (better than results show). Positive = LUCKY (worse than results show).
Outs/TB: Outs recorded ÷ total bases allowed. Custom efficiency metric. Higher = more efficient. Starter range typically 1.5–3.0.
FIP: Defense-independent ERA estimator using only K/BB/HBP/HR. Removes BABIP luck. Same scale as ERA.
kwERA: Strikeout-and-walk-only ERA estimator. 5.40 − 12·(K−BB)/PA. Strips contact entirely. K-BB% is the most stable pitcher skill.
K% / BB%: Strikeouts / walks as a share of total batters faced.
IP (25+26 combined): Total innings across the prior + current season — defines the IP-weight on combined stats.
Arsenal RV/100 (Savant): Run Value per 100 pitches, weighted across the pitcher's mix. POSITIVE = stuff playing well for the pitcher. Substitute for FanGraphs Stuff+.
Batter metrics
AVG/OBP/SLG: Standard slash line, current season.
vs L/RHP AVG/OBP/SLG (PA): Same line, but only against pitchers of the hand the batter is facing tonight. PA = sample size — small samples (<50 PA) are noisy.
xwOBA / xBA / xSLG (Savant): Statcast expected stats for the batter, based on contact quality.
xwOBA(25) (Savant): Last year's xwOBA. Useful when current-year sample is thin.
FRV (Savant): Fielding Run Value. Range + arm + framing + blocking + DP turns. Cumulative — early-season values are small.
Match xwOBA: Projected weighted xwOBA against this specific pitcher's pitch mix. Per pitch (with usage %), look up batter's xwOBA vs that pitch type, weighted average.
Cov%: Share of opposing pitcher's pitch usage where we have direct batter-vs-pitch data. Lower coverage = less reliable matchup score.
Lineup status
🟢 CONFIRMED: Posted by the team via MLB Stats API. This is the actual lineup playing.
🟡 EXPECTED: Projected from the team's last 21 days of starts vs the same handedness, with current IL filtered out. Refreshes ~T-90 min before first pitch.
Data sources
MLB Stats API (statsapi.mlb.com): schedule, lineups, raw counting stats (K/BB/HR/IP/AVG/etc.), L/R splits.
Baseball Savant (Statcast): xERA/xwOBA, pitch arsenal, Fielding Run Value, expected stats. Descriptive only — no projection system.
Baseball Prospectus: DRC+ + PECOTA when authed.
Open-Meteo: Weather forecast rotated to the park.
Post-game
actual vs projected
Final total
10
2 SF · 8 LAD
Projected total
—
Delta
—
actual − projected
Band cover
—
SF
2 R
5H · 1HR · 2BB · 14K · 10LOB
OBPe 0.206 · SLGe 0.258 · K% 41.2
Their pitching
8.0 IP · 8 ER · 6 K · relief 3.3 IP · 4 arms
LAD
8 R
11H · 5HR · 5BB · 6K · 19LOB
OBPe 0.410 · SLGe 0.794 · K% 15.4
Their pitching
9.0 IP · 2 ER · 14 K · relief 3.0 IP · 4 arms
SF · standout lines
big nights
Jung Hoo Lee (RF) · 1-4 | HR, RBI, RHR
tough nights
Shay Whitcomb (3B) · 0-3 | 3 K0-for-3 · 3 K
Christian Koss (SS) · 0-3 | 2 K0-for-3 · 2 K
LAD · standout lines
big nights
Mookie Betts (SS) · 3-4 | 2 HR, BB, 3 RBI2-HR night · 3 H · 9 TB