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today's slate

SEA @ LAA

Monday · September 14, 2026·full·gamePk 823981past slate · free

refreshed 267h 29m ago both lineups confirmed

weather · Angel Stadium

gametime 9:38 PM EDT · open-meteo

temperature

72°F

humidity 75%

wind

7 mph

out to CF

precip

clear

park

LAA

open · HP→CF 58°

wind impact on total

+0.19 R/Gminor out

Minor wind out: +0.19 R/G vs neutral. _Marine layer in spring suppresses HR; summer warmth flattens; light wind generally_

starters · IP-weighted 2025+2026

metric	Kade AndersonLHP · SEA	Reid DetmersLHP · LAA
xERA 2026	4.02	3.19
xwOBA 2026	0.309	0.277
wOBA−xwOBA 2026	0.032	-0.009
xERA 2025	—	3.61
xwOBA 2025	—	0.296
Outs/TB 25-26	1.80	2.39
FIP 25-26	5.19	3.05
kwERA 25-26	4.30	2.83
K% 25-26	18.4%	28.9%
BB% 25-26	9.2%	7.4%
IP 25+26 combined	21.0	231.7
ERA actual 2026	4.29	3.32
ERA (L4)	4.09	0.67
WHIP (L4)	1.45	0.67
K% (L4)	17.4%	31.9%
BB% (L4)	6.5%	1.1%
IP/gm (L4)	5.50	6.75
L4 window	09/03→09/09 (2 st) · 1/2 dates verified	08/15→09/08 (4 st) · 3/4 dates verified
Stuff+ last 3 (Δ szn)	—	—
SIERA last 3 (Δ szn)	—	—
Arsenal RV/100	-1.18	0.97

away arsenal — SEA

RV/100 -1.18

4-Seam Fastball—-1.60xwOBA 0.377
Slider—+1.20xwOBA 0.213
Changeup—-3.50xwOBA 0.317

home arsenal — LAA

RV/100 0.97

4-Seam Fastball—+0.40xwOBA 0.312
Slider—+2.10xwOBA 0.215
Curveball—+1.00xwOBA 0.303
Changeup—-0.20xwOBA 0.308

away · SEA vs LHP

confirmed

Σ xwOBA

3.009

Σ match

2.641

Σ FRV

-25.7

#	pos	batter	xwOBA	match	FRV
1	SS	J.P. Crawford	0.322	0.287	-7.4
2	LF	Randy Arozarena	0.347	0.296	-6.8
3	RF	Dominic Canzone	0.352	0.332	+0.2
4	C	Cal Raleigh	0.312	0.263	-4.0
5	CF	Julio Rodríguez	0.335	0.301	-0.4
6	1B	Josh Naylor	0.316	0.277	+3.5
7	DH	Michael Arroyo	0.447	0.347	+0.3
8	2B	Cole Young	0.317	0.285	-3.6
9	3B	Weston Wilson	0.261	0.252	-7.4

home · LAA vs LHP

confirmed

Σ xwOBA

2.592

Σ match

2.685

Σ FRV

-11.5

#	pos	batter	xwOBA	match	FRV
1	SS	Zach Neto	0.310	0.316	-1.6
2	DH	Mike Trout	0.377	0.366	-2.9
3	CF	Jose Siri	0.305	0.336	+1.8
4	1B	Vaughn Grissom	0.305	0.318	-4.9
5	2B	Christian Moore	0.245	0.249	-1.7
6	3B	Denzer Guzman	0.267	0.247	+1.3
7	C	Travis d'Arnaud	0.244	0.246	-2.6
8	LF	Kyren Paris	0.225	0.283	-2.0
9	RF	Wade Meckler	0.314	0.322	+1.2

defense · SEA catcher (Savant FRV)

Cal Raleigh

FRV-4.0
framing-3.7
blocking+2.6
throwing-2.9

defense · LAA catcher (Savant FRV)

Travis d'Arnaud

FRV-2.6
framing-2.5
blocking+0.0
throwing-0.1

SEA · Kade Anderson

Last outing 2026-09-09 vs TEX · 6.0 IP

Latest-start ratings unavailable: the provider rating has not been matched to this official outing.

Last 2 starts: 2026-09-03 → 2026-09-09. 1/2 outings have verified ratings.

Complete-window ratings are pending. Available dated context:

2026-09-03: Stuff+ 94 · Location+ 99 · Pitching+ 96 · botStf 53 · botCmd 57 · botOvr 55 · SIERA 5.18

Prior games = unweighted average before 2026-09-09; SIERA here is an average of game ratings, not aggregate season SIERA. Stuff+ family: 100 average. PitchingBot: 50 average. Lower SIERA/botERA is better.

LAA · Reid Detmers

Last outing 2026-09-08 vs BOS · 6.0 IP

Latest-start ratings unavailable: the provider rating has not been matched to this official outing.

Last 3 starts: 2026-08-28 → 2026-09-08. 2/3 outings have verified ratings.

Complete-window ratings are pending. Available dated context:

2026-09-02: Stuff+ 109 · Location+ 122 · Pitching+ 125 · botStf 52 · botCmd 67 · botOvr 65 · SIERA 1.86

2026-08-28: Stuff+ 105 · Location+ 114 · Pitching+ 117 · botStf 51 · botCmd 58 · botOvr 57 · SIERA 4.58

Prior games = unweighted average before 2026-09-08; SIERA here is an average of game ratings, not aggregate season SIERA. Stuff+ family: 100 average. PitchingBot: 50 average. Lower SIERA/botERA is better.

Bullpen depth chart · per side

Derived = season-usage role from pitcher-profiles.json. Card tag = what tonight's card thinks. When they disagree, the sim picker may target wrong arms in save windows. Mean IP/app distinguishes 1-IP relievers from bulk arms.

SEA · bridge (non-closer, 6-8)8 arms · kwera

0.43R / inningband [0.38–0.48]

0.101 R/PA · 0.143 R/out · worst: Hoby Milner (4.60)

LAA · bridge (non-closer, 6-8)8 arms · kwera

0.38R / inningband [0.31–0.46]

0.090 R/PA · 0.128 R/out · worst: Luke Murphy (4.37)

SEA

Pitcher	Derived	Card	FIP	K%	BB%	Mean IP	SV/HD/GF	Trend
Andrés Muñoz	CLOSER	CL	3.17	37.4	10.0	0.93	27/0/29	stable
José A. Ferrer	SETUP	SU	4.00	17.9	6.7	0.89	3/13/7	stable
Gabe Speier	SETUP	MR	4.27	22.0	8.7	0.82	1/21/5	stable
Hoby Milner	SETUP	MR	4.69	12.7	6.1	0.94	1/6/7	stable
Eduard Bazardo	SETUP	MR	4.70	23.2	8.0	0.94	0/26/2	stable
Seranthony Domínguez	SETUP	MR	4.88	24.5	12.9	0.89	12/7/18	stable
Cooper Criswell	MR	LR	3.61	19.0	7.0	1.18	1/3/12	stable
Michael Rucker	MR	MR	4.03	26.8	7.9	1.05	0/1/6	stable
Carlos Vargas	unknown	MR	3.33	20.8	3.8	—	0/0/0	—

LAA

Pitcher	Derived	Card	FIP	K%	BB%	Mean IP	SV/HD/GF	Trend
Samy Natera Jr.	MR	SU	1.90	36.6	9.9	1.16	3/5/3	stable
Tayler Saucedo	MR	MR	2.59	27.8	5.6	0.56	0/7/0	stable
José Fermin	MR	MR	3.92	26.9	10.8	1.11	1/7/7	stable
Ryan Watson	MR	SU	4.03	20.0	7.6	1.61	2/7/21	stable
Mitch Farris	MR	LR	4.83	24.7	11.4	2.12	1/1/6	stable
Ben Joyce	unknown	CL	2.61	30.6	14.3	—	4/2/0	—
Blake Weiman	unknown	MR	2.65	19.0	1.7	—	0/2/0	—
Luke Murphy	unknown	MR	3.97	22.9	14.3	—	0/4/0	—
Sammy Peralta	unknown	MR	5.07	30.2	7.9	—	0/1/0	—

glossary

Pitcher metrics

xERA (Savant): Statcast's expected ERA, derived from xwOBA. Strips defense/luck — what the pitcher's contact quality says he should have given up.
xwOBA (Savant): Expected wOBA. Treats each batted ball by exit velo + launch angle (independent of where defenders stood). Lower = better for pitcher.
wOBA-xwOBA (Savant): Actual minus expected. Negative = the pitcher has been UNLUCKY (better than results show). Positive = LUCKY (worse than results show).
Outs/TB: Outs recorded ÷ total bases allowed. Custom efficiency metric. Higher = more efficient. Starter range typically 1.5–3.0.
FIP: Defense-independent ERA estimator using only K/BB/HBP/HR. Removes BABIP luck. Same scale as ERA.
kwERA: Strikeout-and-walk-only ERA estimator. 5.40 − 12·(K−BB)/PA. Strips contact entirely. K-BB% is the most stable pitcher skill.
K% / BB%: Strikeouts / walks as a share of total batters faced.
IP (25+26 combined): Total innings across the prior + current season — defines the IP-weight on combined stats.
Arsenal RV/100 (Savant): Run Value per 100 pitches, weighted across the pitcher's mix. POSITIVE = stuff playing well for the pitcher. Substitute for FanGraphs Stuff+.

Batter metrics

AVG/OBP/SLG: Standard slash line, current season.
vs L/RHP AVG/OBP/SLG (PA): Same line, but only against pitchers of the hand the batter is facing tonight. PA = sample size — small samples (<50 PA) are noisy.
xwOBA / xBA / xSLG (Savant): Statcast expected stats for the batter, based on contact quality.
xwOBA(25) (Savant): Last year's xwOBA. Useful when current-year sample is thin.
FRV (Savant): Fielding Run Value. Range + arm + framing + blocking + DP turns. Cumulative — early-season values are small.
Match xwOBA: Projected weighted xwOBA against this specific pitcher's pitch mix. Per pitch (with usage %), look up batter's xwOBA vs that pitch type, weighted average.
Cov%: Share of opposing pitcher's pitch usage where we have direct batter-vs-pitch data. Lower coverage = less reliable matchup score.

Lineup status

🟢 CONFIRMED: Posted by the team via MLB Stats API. This is the actual lineup playing.
🟡 EXPECTED: Projected from the team's last 21 days of starts vs the same handedness, with current IL filtered out. Refreshes ~T-90 min before first pitch.

Data sources

MLB Stats API (statsapi.mlb.com): schedule, lineups, raw counting stats (K/BB/HR/IP/AVG/etc.), L/R splits.
Baseball Savant (Statcast): xERA/xwOBA, pitch arsenal, Fielding Run Value, expected stats. Descriptive only — no projection system.
Baseball Prospectus: DRC+ + PECOTA when authed.
Open-Meteo: Weather forecast rotated to the park.

Post-game

actual vs projected

Final total

4 SEA · 6 LAA

Projected total

—

Delta

—

actual − projected

Band cover

—

SEA

4 R

8H · 2HR · 3BB · 11K · 11LOB

OBPe 0.297 · SLGe 0.441 · K% 29.7

Their pitching

8.0 IP · 6 ER · 7 K · relief 3.7 IP · 4 arms

LAA

6 R

9H · 0HR · 2BB · 7K · 13LOB

OBPe 0.324 · SLGe 0.387 · K% 20.6

Their pitching

9.0 IP · 4 ER · 11 K · relief 3.0 IP · 4 arms

SEA · standout lines

big nights

J.P. Crawford (SS) · 2-5 | HR, K, RBIHR
Cal Raleigh (C) · 1-4 | HR, 2 K, 3 RBIHR

tough nights

Julio Rodríguez (CF) · 0-3 | BB, 2 K, SB0-for-3 · 2 K
Josh Naylor (1B) · 0-40-for-4
Cole Young (2B) · 0-4 | K0-for-4

LAA · standout lines

big nights

Zach Neto (SS) · 2-4 | 3B, K, RBI4 TB
Jose Siri (CF) · 3-4 | 2B, 2 RBI, 2 R3 H · 4 TB

tough nights

Christian Moore (2B) · 0-4 | 3 K0-for-4 · 3 K
Travis d'Arnaud (C) · 0-4 | K0-for-4