Sunday · September 13, 2026·full·gamePk 823815past slate · free
refreshed 298h 12m ago both lineups confirmed
weather · loanDepot park
gametime 1:40 PM EDT · open-meteo
temperature
87°F
humidity 72%
wind
9 mph
cross LF to RF
precip
19%
overcast
park
MIA
retractable · HP→CF 40°
wind impact on total
neutralnone cross
Cross wind, but too light to move the total.
starters · IP-weighted 2025+2026
metric
Emmet SheehanRHP · LAD
Eury PérezRHP · MIA
xERA 2026
3.91
4.10
xwOBA 2026
0.305
0.312
wOBA−xwOBA 2026
0.034
-0.004
xERA 2025
3.00
3.23
xwOBA 2025
0.271
0.281
Outs/TB 25-26
2.05
2.22
FIP 25-26
3.91
3.89
kwERA 25-26
2.84
3.40
K% 25-26
28.7%
26.4%
BB% 25-26
7.3%
9.7%
IP 25+26 combined
174.3
234.7
ERA actual 2026
5.08
3.94
ERA (L4)
6.27
9.18
WHIP (L4)
1.34
2.22
K% (L4)
30.1%
19.5%
BB% (L4)
6.0%
14.9%
IP/gm (L4)
4.67
4.17
L4 window
07/20→09/07 (4 st) · 4/4 dates verified
08/22→09/07 (4 st) · 4/4 dates verified
Stuff+ last 3 (Δ szn)
98 (−2)
107 (−7)
SIERA last 3 (Δ szn)
3.10 (−0.89)
6.15 (+1.80)
Arsenal RV/100
-0.38
0.10
away arsenal — LAD
RV/100 -0.38
4-Seam Fastball—-1.00xwOBA 0.359
Slider—+0.80xwOBA 0.267
Changeup—-1.80xwOBA 0.296
Curveball—+0.90xwOBA 0.246
home arsenal — MIA
RV/100 0.10
4-Seam Fastball—+0.40xwOBA 0.328
Sinker—-0.50xwOBA 0.341
Slider—+0.60xwOBA 0.299
Sweeper—+0.70xwOBA 0.222
Changeup—-1.60xwOBA 0.296
Curveball—-0.30xwOBA 0.332
away · LAD vs RHP
confirmed
Σ xwOBA
2.994
Σ match
2.990
Σ FRV
+8.3
#
pos
batter
xwOBA
match
FRV
1
SS
Mookie Betts
0.335
0.336
+7.8
2
1B
Freddie Freeman
0.369
0.357
+2.0
3
DH
Max Muncy
0.351
0.365
+1.8
4
C
Will Smith
0.379
0.384
-0.3
5
RF
Kyle Tucker
0.328
0.330
-7.4
6
LF
Josue De Paula
0.359
0.330
—
7
CF
Alex Call
0.282
0.286
+0.9
8
2B
Miguel Rojas
0.306
0.299
+2.0
9
3B
Alex Freeland
0.285
0.304
+1.4
home · MIA vs RHP
confirmed
Σ xwOBA
2.870
Σ match
2.880
Σ FRV
+16.2
#
pos
batter
xwOBA
match
FRV
1
DH
Kyle Stowers
0.329
0.320
-2.9
2
LF
Heriberto Hernández
0.353
0.364
+0.4
3
SS
Otto Lopez
0.328
0.338
+9.9
4
1B
Griffin Conine
0.371
0.384
-1.7
5
2B
Xavier Edwards
0.313
0.321
-2.4
6
CF
Jakob Marsee
0.309
0.297
+3.5
7
3B
Javier Sanoja
0.292
0.285
+3.0
8
C
Joe Mack
0.291
0.290
+10.1
9
RF
Esteury Ruiz
0.284
0.281
-3.7
defense · LAD catcher (Savant FRV)
Will Smith
FRV-0.3
framing-1.4
blocking+0.7
throwing+0.4
defense · MIA catcher (Savant FRV)
Joe Mack
FRV+10.1
framing+5.7
blocking-0.0
throwing+4.5
LAD · Emmet Sheehan
Last outing 2026-09-07 vs CIN · 5.2 IP
Metric
Prior games
Latest (Δ)
Last 3
Stuff+
100
103(+3)
98
Location+
106
108(+2)
102
Pitching+
107
110(+3)
103
botStf
53
51(-2)
50
botCmd
52
52(+1)
48
botOvr
52
54(+2)
49
SIERA
3.99
1.39(-2.60)
3.10
Last 3 starts: 2026-07-26 → 2026-09-07. 3/3 outings have verified ratings.
Latest botERA 4.12
Prior games = unweighted average before 2026-09-07; SIERA here is an average of game ratings, not aggregate season SIERA. Stuff+ family: 100 average. PitchingBot: 50 average. Lower SIERA/botERA is better.
MIA · Eury Pérez
Last outing 2026-09-07 vs NYM · 4.0 IP
Metric
Prior games
Latest (Δ)
Last 3
Stuff+
114
110(-4)
107
Location+
91
94(+2)
81
Pitching+
103
106(+2)
89
botStf
59
57(-2)
55
botCmd
50
50(-0)
47
botOvr
56
54(-2)
50
SIERA
4.35
4.74(+0.40)
6.15
Last 3 starts: 2026-08-28 → 2026-09-07. 3/3 outings have verified ratings.
Latest botERA 3.98
Prior games = unweighted average before 2026-09-07; SIERA here is an average of game ratings, not aggregate season SIERA. Stuff+ family: 100 average. PitchingBot: 50 average. Lower SIERA/botERA is better.
Bullpen depth chart · per side
Derived = season-usage role from pitcher-profiles.json. Card tag = what tonight's card thinks. When they disagree, the sim picker may target wrong arms in save windows. Mean IP/app distinguishes 1-IP relievers from bulk arms.
xERA (Savant): Statcast's expected ERA, derived from xwOBA. Strips defense/luck — what the pitcher's contact quality says he should have given up.
xwOBA (Savant): Expected wOBA. Treats each batted ball by exit velo + launch angle (independent of where defenders stood). Lower = better for pitcher.
wOBA-xwOBA (Savant): Actual minus expected. Negative = the pitcher has been UNLUCKY (better than results show). Positive = LUCKY (worse than results show).
Outs/TB: Outs recorded ÷ total bases allowed. Custom efficiency metric. Higher = more efficient. Starter range typically 1.5–3.0.
FIP: Defense-independent ERA estimator using only K/BB/HBP/HR. Removes BABIP luck. Same scale as ERA.
kwERA: Strikeout-and-walk-only ERA estimator. 5.40 − 12·(K−BB)/PA. Strips contact entirely. K-BB% is the most stable pitcher skill.
K% / BB%: Strikeouts / walks as a share of total batters faced.
IP (25+26 combined): Total innings across the prior + current season — defines the IP-weight on combined stats.
Arsenal RV/100 (Savant): Run Value per 100 pitches, weighted across the pitcher's mix. POSITIVE = stuff playing well for the pitcher. Substitute for FanGraphs Stuff+.
Batter metrics
AVG/OBP/SLG: Standard slash line, current season.
vs L/RHP AVG/OBP/SLG (PA): Same line, but only against pitchers of the hand the batter is facing tonight. PA = sample size — small samples (<50 PA) are noisy.
xwOBA / xBA / xSLG (Savant): Statcast expected stats for the batter, based on contact quality.
xwOBA(25) (Savant): Last year's xwOBA. Useful when current-year sample is thin.
FRV (Savant): Fielding Run Value. Range + arm + framing + blocking + DP turns. Cumulative — early-season values are small.
Match xwOBA: Projected weighted xwOBA against this specific pitcher's pitch mix. Per pitch (with usage %), look up batter's xwOBA vs that pitch type, weighted average.
Cov%: Share of opposing pitcher's pitch usage where we have direct batter-vs-pitch data. Lower coverage = less reliable matchup score.
Lineup status
🟢 CONFIRMED: Posted by the team via MLB Stats API. This is the actual lineup playing.
🟡 EXPECTED: Projected from the team's last 21 days of starts vs the same handedness, with current IL filtered out. Refreshes ~T-90 min before first pitch.
Data sources
MLB Stats API (statsapi.mlb.com): schedule, lineups, raw counting stats (K/BB/HR/IP/AVG/etc.), L/R splits.
Baseball Savant (Statcast): xERA/xwOBA, pitch arsenal, Fielding Run Value, expected stats. Descriptive only — no projection system.