Sunday · September 13, 2026·full·gamePk 823495past slate · free
refreshed 299h 38m ago both lineups confirmed
weather · Yankee Stadium
gametime 1:35 PM EDT · open-meteo
temperature
74°F
humidity 88%
wind
4 mph
cross RF to LF
precip
16%
mostly clear
park
NYY
open · HP→CF 75°
wind impact on total
-0.01 R/Gnone cross
Cross wind, but too light to move the total.
starters · IP-weighted 2025+2026
metric
Christian ScottRHP · NYM
Cam SchlittlerRHP · NYY
xERA 2026
3.85
2.91
xwOBA 2026
0.303
0.265
wOBA−xwOBA 2026
-0.002
-0.019
xERA 2025
—
4.10
xwOBA 2025
—
0.314
Outs/TB 25-26
2.27
2.62
FIP 25-26
3.59
2.93
kwERA 25-26
3.28
2.63
K% 25-26
27.8%
30.3%
BB% 25-26
10.2%
7.2%
IP 25+26 combined
99.3
251.7
ERA actual 2026
3.81
2.01
ERA (L4)
5.14
1.01
WHIP (L4)
1.24
0.79
K% (L4)
24.2%
31.3%
BB% (L4)
12.1%
8.1%
IP/gm (L4)
5.25
6.67
L4 window
08/16→09/06 (4 st) · 4/4 dates verified
08/21→09/08 (4 st) · 4/4 dates verified
Stuff+ last 3 (Δ szn)
107 (−0)
116 (+3)
SIERA last 3 (Δ szn)
5.09 (+0.66)
2.65 (−0.49)
Arsenal RV/100
0.26
1.24
away arsenal — NYM
RV/100 0.26
4-Seam Fastball—-0.10xwOBA 0.324
Sweeper—+0.70xwOBA 0.245
Cutter—+1.80xwOBA 0.320
Curveball—-3.70xwOBA 0.256
Split-Finger—+0.40xwOBA 0.364
home arsenal — NYY
RV/100 1.24
4-Seam Fastball—+1.90xwOBA 0.231
Cutter—+0.30xwOBA 0.301
Sinker—+1.80xwOBA 0.267
Curveball—-0.50xwOBA 0.338
away · NYM vs RHP
confirmed
Σ xwOBA
3.031
Σ match
2.676
Σ FRV
+10.2
#
pos
batter
xwOBA
match
FRV
1
SS
Francisco Lindor
0.334
0.302
-0.1
2
DH
Juan Soto
0.417
0.370
-4.4
3
3B
Bo Bichette
0.328
0.283
-2.4
4
RF
Carson Benge
0.335
0.306
+7.3
5
1B
Jared Young
0.315
0.272
-0.0
6
CF
A.J. Ewing
0.323
0.292
+6.8
7
C
Francisco Alvarez
0.325
0.271
+1.4
8
2B
Brett Baty
0.313
0.282
+0.3
9
LF
Nick Morabito
0.341
0.296
+1.3
home · NYY vs RHP
confirmed
Σ xwOBA
2.971
Σ match
2.962
Σ FRV
+17.4
#
pos
batter
xwOBA
match
FRV
1
DH
Ben Rice
0.375
0.391
-4.7
2
LF
Cody Bellinger
0.339
0.317
+9.9
3
RF
Aaron Judge
0.407
0.395
-1.2
4
1B
Luis García Jr.
0.354
0.378
+1.2
5
CF
Spencer Jones
0.334
0.341
-2.6
6
2B
Anthony Volpe
0.290
0.280
+5.3
7
3B
Ryan McMahon
0.303
0.306
+1.8
8
C
Austin Wells
0.288
0.300
+6.4
9
SS
José Caballero
0.281
0.255
+1.3
defense · NYM catcher (Savant FRV)
Francisco Alvarez
FRV+1.4
framing+2.4
blocking-1.6
throwing+0.6
defense · NYY catcher (Savant FRV)
Austin Wells
FRV+6.4
framing+6.0
blocking+1.9
throwing-1.4
NYM · Christian Scott
Last outing 2026-09-06 vs SF · 4.2 IP
Metric
Prior games
Latest (Δ)
Last 3
Stuff+
107
110(+2)
107
Location+
97
109(+12)
93
Pitching+
102
115(+13)
100
botStf
58
54(-4)
58
botCmd
53
56(+3)
52
botOvr
57
58(+0)
55
SIERA
4.44
2.31(-2.13)
5.09
Last 3 starts: 2026-08-22 → 2026-09-06. 3/3 outings have verified ratings.
Latest botERA 3.44
Prior games = unweighted average before 2026-09-06; SIERA here is an average of game ratings, not aggregate season SIERA. Stuff+ family: 100 average. PitchingBot: 50 average. Lower SIERA/botERA is better.
NYY · Cam Schlittler
Last outing 2026-09-08 vs COL · 7.0 IP
Metric
Prior games
Latest (Δ)
Last 3
Stuff+
113
113(+1)
116
Location+
103
93(-11)
93
Pitching+
115
105(-10)
108
botStf
56
56(-0)
57
botCmd
55
44(-11)
49
botOvr
58
51(-7)
54
SIERA
3.14
1.55(-1.59)
2.65
Last 3 starts: 2026-08-28 → 2026-09-08. 3/3 outings have verified ratings.
Latest botERA 4.64
Prior games = unweighted average before 2026-09-08; SIERA here is an average of game ratings, not aggregate season SIERA. Stuff+ family: 100 average. PitchingBot: 50 average. Lower SIERA/botERA is better.
Bullpen depth chart · per side
Derived = season-usage role from pitcher-profiles.json. Card tag = what tonight's card thinks. When they disagree, the sim picker may target wrong arms in save windows. Mean IP/app distinguishes 1-IP relievers from bulk arms.
NYM · bridge (non-closer, 6-8)7 arms · kwera
0.39R / inningband [0.32–0.46]
0.092 R/PA · 0.130 R/out · worst: Jonathan Pintaro (4.04)
NYY · bridge (non-closer, 6-8)8 arms · kwera
0.45R / inningband [0.36–0.55]
0.107 R/PA · 0.152 R/out · worst: Luis Gil (5.29)
NYM
Pitcher
Derived
Card
FIP
K%
BB%
Mean IP
SV/HD/GF
Trend
Kodai Senga
BULK
CL
5.79
25.8
14.4
3.39
7/0/1
ramping down
Austin Warren
OPENER
MR
4.25
25.9
10.9
1.35
0/1/9
stable
Tobias Myers
OPENER
MR
4.71
17.8
6.1
1.77
2/3/5
stable
Daniel Duarte
MR
MR
3.34
25.9
6.5
1.67
2/6/2
insufficient data
Jonathan Pintaro
MR
MR
4.81
22.6
11.3
2.47
0/2/2
ramping up
Nate Lavender
unknown
SU
1.35
30.9
5.5
—
0/9/0
—
Jack Weisenburger
unknown
MR
2.28
20.0
6.7
—
0/0/0
—
Dedniel Núñez
unknown
SU
4.05
24.1
0.0
—
0/3/0
—
NYY
Pitcher
Derived
Card
FIP
K%
BB%
Mean IP
SV/HD/GF
Trend
David Bednar
CLOSER
CL
2.62
27.7
7.0
1.10
33/0/35
stable
Brent Headrick
SETUP
SU
2.31
29.9
7.9
1.01
0/28/6
stable
John Schreiber
SETUP
MR
4.70
17.6
10.8
0.91
1/14/5
stable
Tim Hill
SETUP
MR
5.81
11.1
5.8
0.84
2/10/6
stable
Paul Blackburn
OPENER
SU
3.79
21.1
9.9
1.53
1/10/13
stable
Ryan Yarbrough
MR
MR
3.71
17.2
9.2
1.59
3/2/14
stable
Michael Fulmer
unknown
MR
4.03
26.2
11.9
—
0/2/0
—
Bradley Hanner
unknown
MR
10.78
26.9
3.8
—
0/0/0
—
Luis Gil
SP
MR
7.43
13.2
12.3
4.83
0/0/0
ramping up
glossary
Pitcher metrics
xERA (Savant): Statcast's expected ERA, derived from xwOBA. Strips defense/luck — what the pitcher's contact quality says he should have given up.
xwOBA (Savant): Expected wOBA. Treats each batted ball by exit velo + launch angle (independent of where defenders stood). Lower = better for pitcher.
wOBA-xwOBA (Savant): Actual minus expected. Negative = the pitcher has been UNLUCKY (better than results show). Positive = LUCKY (worse than results show).
Outs/TB: Outs recorded ÷ total bases allowed. Custom efficiency metric. Higher = more efficient. Starter range typically 1.5–3.0.
FIP: Defense-independent ERA estimator using only K/BB/HBP/HR. Removes BABIP luck. Same scale as ERA.
kwERA: Strikeout-and-walk-only ERA estimator. 5.40 − 12·(K−BB)/PA. Strips contact entirely. K-BB% is the most stable pitcher skill.
K% / BB%: Strikeouts / walks as a share of total batters faced.
IP (25+26 combined): Total innings across the prior + current season — defines the IP-weight on combined stats.
Arsenal RV/100 (Savant): Run Value per 100 pitches, weighted across the pitcher's mix. POSITIVE = stuff playing well for the pitcher. Substitute for FanGraphs Stuff+.
Batter metrics
AVG/OBP/SLG: Standard slash line, current season.
vs L/RHP AVG/OBP/SLG (PA): Same line, but only against pitchers of the hand the batter is facing tonight. PA = sample size — small samples (<50 PA) are noisy.
xwOBA / xBA / xSLG (Savant): Statcast expected stats for the batter, based on contact quality.
xwOBA(25) (Savant): Last year's xwOBA. Useful when current-year sample is thin.
FRV (Savant): Fielding Run Value. Range + arm + framing + blocking + DP turns. Cumulative — early-season values are small.
Match xwOBA: Projected weighted xwOBA against this specific pitcher's pitch mix. Per pitch (with usage %), look up batter's xwOBA vs that pitch type, weighted average.
Cov%: Share of opposing pitcher's pitch usage where we have direct batter-vs-pitch data. Lower coverage = less reliable matchup score.
Lineup status
🟢 CONFIRMED: Posted by the team via MLB Stats API. This is the actual lineup playing.
🟡 EXPECTED: Projected from the team's last 21 days of starts vs the same handedness, with current IL filtered out. Refreshes ~T-90 min before first pitch.
Data sources
MLB Stats API (statsapi.mlb.com): schedule, lineups, raw counting stats (K/BB/HR/IP/AVG/etc.), L/R splits.
Baseball Savant (Statcast): xERA/xwOBA, pitch arsenal, Fielding Run Value, expected stats. Descriptive only — no projection system.
Baseball Prospectus: DRC+ + PECOTA when authed.
Open-Meteo: Weather forecast rotated to the park.
Post-game
actual vs projected
Final total
2
0 NYM · 2 NYY
Projected total
—
Delta
—
actual − projected
Band cover
—
NYM
0 R
3H · 0HR · 2BB · 10K · 9LOB
OBPe 0.156 · SLGe 0.133 · K% 31.3
Their pitching
8.0 IP · 2 ER · 9 K · relief 2.0 IP · 3 arms
NYY
2 R
3H · 2HR · 4BB · 9K · 7LOB
OBPe 0.241 · SLGe 0.360 · K% 31.0
Their pitching
9.0 IP · 0 ER · 10 K · relief 3.0 IP · 4 arms
NYM · standout lines
tough nights
Francisco Lindor (SS) · 0-3 | BB, 2 K0-for-3 · 2 K