Sunday · September 13, 2026·full·gamePk 823171past slate · free
refreshed 294h 17m ago both lineups confirmed
weather · Oracle Park
gametime 7:20 PM EDT · open-meteo
temperature
70°F
humidity 54%
wind
16 mph
out to RF
precip
0%
clear
park
SF
open · HP→CF 91°
wind impact on total
+0.49 R/Gmoderate out
Moderate wind out: +0.49 R/G vs neutral. _Oracle Park — the famous wind park. McCovey Cove wind blows IN HARD from west most days, suppresses HR violently. Calm summer warm games (rare) let ball fly to LF_
starters · IP-weighted 2025+2026
metric
Nick PivettaRHP · SD
Logan WebbRHP · SF
xERA 2026
2.42
4.08
xwOBA 2026
0.242
0.311
wOBA−xwOBA 2026
-0.019
-0.024
xERA 2025
3.96
3.58
xwOBA 2025
0.309
0.295
Outs/TB 25-26
2.58
2.14
FIP 25-26
3.28
2.96
kwERA 25-26
3.01
3.28
K% 25-26
26.9%
23.4%
BB% 25-26
7.0%
5.7%
IP 25+26 combined
202.7
362.7
ERA actual 2026
3.43
4.10
ERA (L4)
0.00
9.18
WHIP (L4)
0.40
1.86
K% (L4)
11.8%
20.2%
BB% (L4)
0.0%
9.5%
IP/gm (L4)
5.00
4.17
L4 window
09/07→09/07 (1 st) · 1/1 dates verified
08/21→09/07 (4 st) · 4/4 dates verified
Stuff+ last 3 (Δ szn)
89 (−14)
104 (+5)
SIERA last 3 (Δ szn)
4.90 (+1.90)
3.76 (−0.26)
Arsenal RV/100
1.86
0.83
away arsenal — SD
RV/100 1.86
4-Seam Fastball—+2.00xwOBA 0.293
Curveball—+0.20xwOBA 0.197
Cutter—+2.20xwOBA 0.291
Sweeper—+3.90xwOBA 0.091
home arsenal — SF
RV/100 0.83
Sinker—+1.60xwOBA 0.363
Changeup—-0.20xwOBA 0.290
Sweeper—+1.10xwOBA 0.296
4-Seam Fastball—+1.50xwOBA 0.251
Cutter—-0.10xwOBA 0.301
away · SD vs RHP
confirmed
Σ xwOBA
2.740
Σ match
2.817
Σ FRV
+18.6
#
pos
batter
xwOBA
match
FRV
1
2B
Fernando Tatis Jr.
0.376
0.356
+5.1
2
RF
Dustin Harris
0.324
0.317
+0.5
3
3B
Manny Machado
0.335
0.326
+5.7
4
DH
Luis Campusano
0.343
0.344
-3.0
5
CF
Jackson Merrill
0.346
0.351
+9.1
6
SS
Xander Bogaerts
0.320
0.317
+4.6
7
1B
Jake Cronenworth
0.269
0.251
-2.3
8
LF
Samad Taylor
0.302
0.307
-0.8
9
C
Ethan Salas
0.125
0.249
-0.4
home · SF vs RHP
confirmed
Σ xwOBA
2.363
Σ match
2.364
Σ FRV
-0.3
#
pos
batter
xwOBA
match
FRV
1
LF
Drew Gilbert
0.328
0.278
+3.6
2
RF
Jung Hoo Lee
0.317
0.258
-6.0
3
1B
Bryce Eldridge
0.354
0.318
+1.7
4
CF
Jonah Cox
0.267
0.233
+1.6
5
DH
Scott Bandura
—
0.285
—
6
2B
Shay Whitcomb
0.269
0.254
+0.3
7
C
Andrew Knizner
0.261
0.245
-4.0
8
3B
Brett Harris
0.311
0.281
+0.2
9
SS
Christian Koss
0.256
0.213
+2.4
defense · SD catcher (Savant FRV)
Ethan Salas
FRV-0.4
framing-0.5
blocking+0.1
throwing—
defense · SF catcher (Savant FRV)
Andrew Knizner
FRV-4.0
framing-2.0
blocking-0.9
throwing-1.2
SD · Nick Pivetta
Last outing 2026-09-07 vs WSH · 5.0 IP
Metric
Prior games
Latest (Δ)
Last 1
Stuff+
102
89(-14)
89
Location+
102
111(+9)
111
Pitching+
105
105(-0)
105
botStf
52
48(-4)
48
botCmd
50
52(+2)
52
botOvr
54
51(-3)
51
SIERA
3.00
4.90(+1.90)
4.90
Last 1 starts: 2026-09-07 → 2026-09-07. 1/1 outings have verified ratings.
Latest botERA 4.58
Prior games = unweighted average before 2026-09-07; SIERA here is an average of game ratings, not aggregate season SIERA. Stuff+ family: 100 average. PitchingBot: 50 average. Lower SIERA/botERA is better.
SF · Logan Webb
Last outing 2026-09-07 vs STL · 6.0 IP
Metric
Prior games
Latest (Δ)
Last 3
Stuff+
99
105(+6)
104
Location+
104
104(+0)
96
Pitching+
104
106(+2)
99
botStf
53
53(-0)
53
botCmd
58
54(-3)
53
botOvr
56
58(+2)
53
SIERA
4.02
2.70(-1.33)
3.76
Last 3 starts: 2026-08-26 → 2026-09-07. 3/3 outings have verified ratings.
Latest botERA 3.32
Prior games = unweighted average before 2026-09-07; SIERA here is an average of game ratings, not aggregate season SIERA. Stuff+ family: 100 average. PitchingBot: 50 average. Lower SIERA/botERA is better.
Bullpen depth chart · per side
Derived = season-usage role from pitcher-profiles.json. Card tag = what tonight's card thinks. When they disagree, the sim picker may target wrong arms in save windows. Mean IP/app distinguishes 1-IP relievers from bulk arms.
0.112 R/PA · 0.159 R/out · worst: Philip Abner (5.72)
SD
Pitcher
Derived
Card
FIP
K%
BB%
Mean IP
SV/HD/GF
Trend
Mason Miller
CLOSER
CL
1.00
48.3
9.5
1.04
36/0/34
stable
Adrian Morejon
SETUP
SU
2.34
30.5
7.3
1.16
3/25/6
stable
Kyle Hart
SETUP
MR
3.37
22.9
7.6
1.40
0/8/5
stable
Bradgley Rodriguez
OPENER
SU
2.66
27.1
6.6
1.09
2/14/5
stable
Wandy Peralta
OPENER
MR
3.97
15.8
7.9
1.17
0/4/14
stable
David Morgan
MR
MR
4.23
23.4
13.3
1.22
0/2/5
stable
Yuki Matsui
MR
MR
4.29
26.4
13.6
1.35
0/9/5
ramping down
Griffin Canning
SP
MR
4.74
22.8
10.4
4.24
0/1/0
ramping down
SF
Pitcher
Derived
Card
FIP
K%
BB%
Mean IP
SV/HD/GF
Trend
Joel Kuhnel
SETUP
CL
5.63
13.1
8.0
1.01
7/6/16
stable
Dylan Smith
MR
MR
3.50
27.0
11.2
0.88
4/7/5
stable
Jason Foley
MR
MR
3.88
12.9
9.7
1.00
0/2/0
insufficient data
Reiver Sanmartin
MR
MR
4.29
18.0
6.7
1.67
0/4/1
insufficient data
Philip Abner
MR
MR
5.35
9.5
12.2
1.87
0/0/1
stable
Carson Seymour
MR
MR
5.98
16.4
12.1
2.17
1/7/0
insufficient data
Trent Harris
unknown
MR
1.78
31.3
10.4
—
1/4/0
—
Matt Wilkinson
unknown
MR
5.74
14.1
5.6
—
0/0/0
—
glossary
Pitcher metrics
xERA (Savant): Statcast's expected ERA, derived from xwOBA. Strips defense/luck — what the pitcher's contact quality says he should have given up.
xwOBA (Savant): Expected wOBA. Treats each batted ball by exit velo + launch angle (independent of where defenders stood). Lower = better for pitcher.
wOBA-xwOBA (Savant): Actual minus expected. Negative = the pitcher has been UNLUCKY (better than results show). Positive = LUCKY (worse than results show).
Outs/TB: Outs recorded ÷ total bases allowed. Custom efficiency metric. Higher = more efficient. Starter range typically 1.5–3.0.
FIP: Defense-independent ERA estimator using only K/BB/HBP/HR. Removes BABIP luck. Same scale as ERA.
kwERA: Strikeout-and-walk-only ERA estimator. 5.40 − 12·(K−BB)/PA. Strips contact entirely. K-BB% is the most stable pitcher skill.
K% / BB%: Strikeouts / walks as a share of total batters faced.
IP (25+26 combined): Total innings across the prior + current season — defines the IP-weight on combined stats.
Arsenal RV/100 (Savant): Run Value per 100 pitches, weighted across the pitcher's mix. POSITIVE = stuff playing well for the pitcher. Substitute for FanGraphs Stuff+.
Batter metrics
AVG/OBP/SLG: Standard slash line, current season.
vs L/RHP AVG/OBP/SLG (PA): Same line, but only against pitchers of the hand the batter is facing tonight. PA = sample size — small samples (<50 PA) are noisy.
xwOBA / xBA / xSLG (Savant): Statcast expected stats for the batter, based on contact quality.
xwOBA(25) (Savant): Last year's xwOBA. Useful when current-year sample is thin.
FRV (Savant): Fielding Run Value. Range + arm + framing + blocking + DP turns. Cumulative — early-season values are small.
Match xwOBA: Projected weighted xwOBA against this specific pitcher's pitch mix. Per pitch (with usage %), look up batter's xwOBA vs that pitch type, weighted average.
Cov%: Share of opposing pitcher's pitch usage where we have direct batter-vs-pitch data. Lower coverage = less reliable matchup score.
Lineup status
🟢 CONFIRMED: Posted by the team via MLB Stats API. This is the actual lineup playing.
🟡 EXPECTED: Projected from the team's last 21 days of starts vs the same handedness, with current IL filtered out. Refreshes ~T-90 min before first pitch.
Data sources
MLB Stats API (statsapi.mlb.com): schedule, lineups, raw counting stats (K/BB/HR/IP/AVG/etc.), L/R splits.
Baseball Savant (Statcast): xERA/xwOBA, pitch arsenal, Fielding Run Value, expected stats. Descriptive only — no projection system.