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today's slate

LAD @ DET

Sunday · August 30, 2026·full·gamePk 824232free Saturday

refreshed 649h 52m ago both lineups confirmed

weather · Comerica Park

gametime 1:40 PM EDT · open-meteo

temperature

69°F

humidity 80%

wind

9 mph

in from LF

precip

36%

overcast

park

DET

open · HP→CF 150°

wind impact on total

-0.11 R/Gminor cross

Minor wind cross: -0.11 R/G vs neutral. _Comerica's huge CF + upper-deck overhang creates dead-air zone in deep CF_

starters · IP-weighted 2025+2026

metric	Tyler GlasnowRHP · LAD	Framber ValdezLHP · DET
xERA 2026	2.49	4.49
xwOBA 2026	0.246	0.326
wOBA−xwOBA 2026	-0.009	-0.002
xERA 2025	3.33	3.79
xwOBA 2025	0.285	0.303
Outs/TB 25-26	2.77	2.13
FIP 25-26	3.47	3.74
kwERA 25-26	3.01	3.94
K% 25-26	30.3%	20.8%
BB% 25-26	10.4%	8.6%
IP 25+26 combined	135.0	336.7
ERA actual 2026	3.02	4.35
ERA (L4)	5.40	4.07
WHIP (L4)	1.20	1.52
K% (L4)	33.3%	12.3%
BB% (L4)	0.0%	12.3%
IP/gm (L4)	5.00	6.08
L4 window	08/25→08/25 (1 st)	08/06→08/24 (4 st)
Stuff+ last 3 (Δ szn)	104 (+0)	89 (−14)
SIERA last 3 (Δ szn)	0.85 (−2.02)	4.86 (+0.46)
Arsenal RV/100	1.24	0.04

away arsenal — LAD

RV/100 1.24

4-Seam Fastball—-0.30xwOBA 0.337
Curveball—+0.40xwOBA 0.145
Sinker—+3.40xwOBA 0.316
Slider—+2.40xwOBA 0.170

home arsenal — DET

RV/100 0.04

Sinker—+0.30xwOBA 0.376
Curveball—-0.30xwOBA 0.274
Changeup—+0.10xwOBA 0.325
Slider—+0.20xwOBA 0.158
4-Seam Fastball—-1.10xwOBA 0.278

away · LAD vs LHP

confirmed

Σ xwOBA

2.849

Σ match

3.084

Σ FRV

+0.8

#	pos	batter	xwOBA	match	FRV
1	DH	Shohei Ohtani	0.403	0.453	—
2	2B	Tommy Edman	0.315	0.339	+2.1
3	SS	Mookie Betts	0.324	0.355	+8.1
4	1B	Freddie Freeman	0.371	0.371	+3.9
5	LF	Teoscar Hernández	0.310	0.350	-5.2
6	3B	Miguel Rojas	0.319	0.324	+0.8
7	RF	Kyle Tucker	0.326	0.337	-7.5
8	CF	Enrique Hernández	0.280	0.290	-0.8
9	C	Ben Rortvedt	0.201	0.266	-0.5

home · DET vs RHP

confirmed

Σ xwOBA

2.907

Σ match

2.446

Σ FRV

+13.9

#	pos	batter	xwOBA	match	FRV
1	2B	Gleyber Torres	0.326	0.268	+2.0
2	1B	Colt Keith	0.337	0.279	-0.9
3	3B	Kevin McGonigle	0.353	0.296	-0.8
4	C	Dillon Dingler	0.348	0.289	+11.9
5	LF	Brett Callahan	0.368	0.301	-0.0
6	RF	Zach McKinstry	0.287	0.241	+8.1
7	DH	Hao-Yu Lee	0.303	0.251	-7.3
8	CF	Max Clark	0.314	0.272	+2.8
9	SS	Javier Báez	0.271	0.250	-1.8

defense · LAD catcher (Savant FRV)

Ben Rortvedt

FRV-0.5
framing-0.4
blocking-0.2
throwing-0.0

defense · DET catcher (Savant FRV)

Dillon Dingler

FRV+11.9
framing+7.2
blocking+2.3
throwing+2.4

LAD · Tyler Glasnow

Last outing 2026-08-25 vs ATL · 5.0 IP

Latest-start ratings unavailable: the provider rating has not been matched to this official outing.

Metric	Prior games	Latest (Δ)	Last 1
Stuff+	—	—	104
Location+	—	—	110
Pitching+	—	—	122
botOvr	—	—	58
SIERA	—	—	0.85

Last 1 starts: 2026-08-25 → 2026-08-25. 0/1 outings have verified ratings.

Complete-window ratings are pending. Available dated context:

Prior games = unweighted average before 2026-08-25; SIERA here is an average of game ratings, not aggregate season SIERA. Stuff+ family: 100 average. PitchingBot: 50 average. Lower SIERA/botERA is better.

DET · Framber Valdez

Last outing 2026-08-24 vs TB · 6.0 IP

Latest-start ratings unavailable: the provider rating has not been matched to this official outing.

Metric	Prior games	Latest (Δ)	Last 3
Stuff+	—	—	89
Location+	—	—	107
Pitching+	—	—	91
botOvr	—	—	45
SIERA	—	—	4.86

Last 3 starts: 2026-08-12 → 2026-08-24. 0/3 outings have verified ratings.

Complete-window ratings are pending. Available dated context:

Prior games = unweighted average before 2026-08-24; SIERA here is an average of game ratings, not aggregate season SIERA. Stuff+ family: 100 average. PitchingBot: 50 average. Lower SIERA/botERA is better.

Bullpen depth chart · per side

Derived = season-usage role from pitcher-profiles.json. Card tag = what tonight's card thinks. When they disagree, the sim picker may target wrong arms in save windows. Mean IP/app distinguishes 1-IP relievers from bulk arms.

LAD · bridge (non-closer, 6-8)7 arms · kwera

0.38R / inningband [0.30–0.47]

0.090 R/PA · 0.128 R/out · worst: Seth Halvorsen (5.28)

DET · bridge (non-closer, 6-8)7 arms · kwera

0.46R / inningband [0.34–0.57]

0.107 R/PA · 0.152 R/out · worst: Tanner Rainey (5.40)

LAD

Pitcher	Derived	Card	FIP	K%	BB%	Mean IP	SV/HD/GF	Trend
Tanner Scott	CLOSER	CL	2.29	31.5	5.6	0.94	20/12/21	stable
Edgardo Henriquez	SETUP	SU	2.61	28.6	10.5	1.05	1/9/5	stable
Alex Vesia	SETUP	MR	3.37	29.2	15.3	0.76	3/18/6	stable
Kyle Hurt	SETUP	LR	3.81	28.9	12.2	1.01	1/9/10	stable
Jack Dreyer	MR	MR	3.48	30.1	9.1	1.01	1/10/9	stable
Brock Stewart	MR	MR	3.81	25.0	11.1	1.06	1/7/2	stable
Evan Phillips	MR	SU	4.49	28.0	6.7	1.00	0/5/3	stable
Seth Halvorsen	MOP_UP	MR	5.74	16.3	15.4	0.90	0/2/4	stable

DET

Pitcher	Derived	Card	FIP	K%	BB%	Mean IP	SV/HD/GF	Trend
Kenley Jansen	CLOSER	CL	5.01	27.7	13.5	0.89	17/1/22	stable
Kyle Finnegan	SETUP	SU	5.30	17.4	13.6	1.05	2/14/3	stable
Tyler Kinley	SETUP	MR	5.43	22.5	11.8	0.87	1/11/9	stable
Tyler Holton	OPENER	SU	4.14	18.8	6.0	1.06	2/14/8	stable
Drew Sommers	MR	MR	2.14	38.0	9.9	0.63	0/10/1	stable
Jacob Waguespack	MR	MR	5.15	14.6	8.9	1.30	0/4/4	stable
Tanner Rainey	unknown	MR	3.98	24.0	24.0	—	0/0/0	—
Andrew Sears	unknown	LR	4.28	14.3	3.6	—	0/0/0	—

glossary

Pitcher metrics

xERA (Savant): Statcast's expected ERA, derived from xwOBA. Strips defense/luck — what the pitcher's contact quality says he should have given up.
xwOBA (Savant): Expected wOBA. Treats each batted ball by exit velo + launch angle (independent of where defenders stood). Lower = better for pitcher.
wOBA-xwOBA (Savant): Actual minus expected. Negative = the pitcher has been UNLUCKY (better than results show). Positive = LUCKY (worse than results show).
Outs/TB: Outs recorded ÷ total bases allowed. Custom efficiency metric. Higher = more efficient. Starter range typically 1.5–3.0.
FIP: Defense-independent ERA estimator using only K/BB/HBP/HR. Removes BABIP luck. Same scale as ERA.
kwERA: Strikeout-and-walk-only ERA estimator. 5.40 − 12·(K−BB)/PA. Strips contact entirely. K-BB% is the most stable pitcher skill.
K% / BB%: Strikeouts / walks as a share of total batters faced.
IP (25+26 combined): Total innings across the prior + current season — defines the IP-weight on combined stats.
Arsenal RV/100 (Savant): Run Value per 100 pitches, weighted across the pitcher's mix. POSITIVE = stuff playing well for the pitcher. Substitute for FanGraphs Stuff+.

Batter metrics

AVG/OBP/SLG: Standard slash line, current season.
vs L/RHP AVG/OBP/SLG (PA): Same line, but only against pitchers of the hand the batter is facing tonight. PA = sample size — small samples (<50 PA) are noisy.
xwOBA / xBA / xSLG (Savant): Statcast expected stats for the batter, based on contact quality.
xwOBA(25) (Savant): Last year's xwOBA. Useful when current-year sample is thin.
FRV (Savant): Fielding Run Value. Range + arm + framing + blocking + DP turns. Cumulative — early-season values are small.
Match xwOBA: Projected weighted xwOBA against this specific pitcher's pitch mix. Per pitch (with usage %), look up batter's xwOBA vs that pitch type, weighted average.
Cov%: Share of opposing pitcher's pitch usage where we have direct batter-vs-pitch data. Lower coverage = less reliable matchup score.

Lineup status

🟢 CONFIRMED: Posted by the team via MLB Stats API. This is the actual lineup playing.
🟡 EXPECTED: Projected from the team's last 21 days of starts vs the same handedness, with current IL filtered out. Refreshes ~T-90 min before first pitch.

Data sources

MLB Stats API (statsapi.mlb.com): schedule, lineups, raw counting stats (K/BB/HR/IP/AVG/etc.), L/R splits.
Baseball Savant (Statcast): xERA/xwOBA, pitch arsenal, Fielding Run Value, expected stats. Descriptive only — no projection system.
Baseball Prospectus: DRC+ + PECOTA when authed.
Open-Meteo: Weather forecast rotated to the park.

Post-game

actual vs projected

Final total

6 LAD · 1 DET

Projected total

—

Delta

—

actual − projected

Band cover

—

LAD

6 R

9H · 1HR · 3BB · 9K · 12LOB

OBPe 0.333 · SLGe 0.441 · K% 23.1

Their pitching

9.0 IP · 1 ER · 7 K · relief 2.0 IP · 3 arms

DET

1 R

2H · 0HR · 2BB · 7K · 4LOB

OBPe 0.133 · SLGe 0.071 · K% 23.3

Their pitching

9.0 IP · 6 ER · 9 K · relief 3.0 IP · 5 arms

LAD · standout lines

big nights

Teoscar Hernández (LF) · 2-3 | HR, HBP, KHR

tough nights

Shohei Ohtani (DH) · 0-5 | 2 K0-for-5 · 2 K
Tommy Edman (2B) · 0-50-for-5

DET · standout lines

tough nights

Colt Keith (1B) · 0-4 | K0-for-4
Max Clark (CF) · 0-3 | 2 K0-for-3 · 2 K